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  3. Billions Trapped in Russia!

Summary

Since Putin's invasion of Ukraine, a large number of western firms have continued to operate and invest in Russia, earning profits of around $20 billion. However, the Kremlin has blocked these companies from accessing those profits in an effort to clamp down on companies from "unfriendly nations." The question remains whether these companies will be able to repatriate these profits in the future.

  • Less than 9% of western firms have divested from Russia since Putin's invasion of Ukraine.
  • US-based companies accounted for the most exits, followed by companies from the EU and Japan.
  • Over 1,000 companies have voluntarily curtailed operations in Russia beyond what is legally required.
  • Western companies operating in Russia have earned profits of around $20 billion, but the Kremlin has blocked them from accessing those profits.
  • Selling assets in Russia has been challenging, as deals require approval from Moscow and would likely be done at a discount.
  • US companies that have remained in Russia generated the largest total profit, followed by German, Austrian, and Swiss companies.
  • European companies alone have reported losses of $100 billion from their operations in Russia.
  • Some companies have found ways around the restrictions, such as offsetting profits against debts.
  • Indian energy companies have also been prevented from repatriating $400 million in dividends.
  • The Russian government has not clarified how it plans to deal with frozen foreign assets.
  • The deterioration in foreign trade has led to a decline in the ruble, with imports increasing and exports decreasing.
  • Binance, the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange, is selling its business in Russia.
  • Chinese banks have replaced western banks in lending to Russian financial institutions, and China's exposure to Russia's banking sector has quadrupled.
  • Raiffeisen is one of the few western banks that have continued operations in Russia, with profits at its Russian subsidiary rising almost ten percent in the first six months.
  • Sanctions have impacted the Russian economy, but exports to Central Asian countries have increased, potentially rerouting into Russia.
  • Greece's shipping sector has profited from shipping Russian oil globally since the invasion.
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